Marconi Stallions vs Manly United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BLA
2 - 1
MAR
35%
25%
41%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
SYD
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ROC
0 - 2
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
MAN
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BON
3 - 0
MAR
71%
17%
11%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 1
SYD
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SYD
0 - 0
MAN
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
PAE
1 - 0
MAN
61%
20%
18%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
MAN
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 1
BLA
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |