Marconi Stallions vs Manly United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
PNU
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 3
BCL
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -3 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
WOL
3 - 2
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 0
SUT
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
BAB
5 - 2
MAR
61%
22%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 0
SUT
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
MAN
2 - 2
MAC
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
SYD
0 - 1
MAN
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 2
SYD
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 0
PNU
68%
19%
12%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |