Marconi Stallions vs Manly United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
WOL
2 - 2
MAR
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
BCL
2 - 0
MAR
18%
23%
59%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 6
API
48%
27%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
BLA
0 - 5
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
MAR
3 - 2
PNU
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 2
SYD
20%
25%
55%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
SYD
0 - 0
MAN
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
MAN
2 - 0
SUT
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
MAN
2 - 2
WOL
17%
22%
61%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
BCL
2 - 2
MAN
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |