Marck vs Bastia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
52.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ARR
1 - 0
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 1
NOI
54%
25%
21%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
SAI
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
AMI
1 - 2
MAR
50%
24%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
NIC
9%
20%
71%
|
35 | 81 | 46 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
AMI
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 2
BAS
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
BAS
4 - 0
OIS
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LEH
1 - 2
BAS
42%
25%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
RAC
52%
24%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |