Marck vs Bastia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
HAZ
3 - 3
MAR
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 3
MAR
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 1
CHA
71%
17%
11%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
AAC
4 - 1
MAR
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 2
SAI
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 1
PAR
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 1
BAS
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
BAS
0 - 1
AAC
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
SAI
5 - 0
BAS
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 1
DIE
39%
25%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |