Marck vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
57.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
UJA
26%
26%
48%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 1
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
QUE
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
NOI
0 - 0
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ARR
4 - 0
QUE
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 2
ARR
33%
26%
40%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 2
ARR
18%
24%
58%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
ARR
3 - 0
AMI
73%
18%
10%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 2
SAI
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |