Marcílio Dias vs Almirante Barroso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
JUV
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 3
MAR
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
BLU
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 2
MAR
42%
26%
33%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAM
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Almirante Barroso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
FFC
0 - 1
LIT
33%
25%
43%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
LIT
1 - 0
CAM
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
JUV
0 - 1
LIT
36%
24%
39%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
LIT
0 - 2
MET
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
MAF
1 - 0
LIT
16%
19%
66%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |