Marcílio Dias vs Almirante Barroso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
TUB
3 - 1
MAR
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 2
BAR
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
MAF
2 - 1
MAR
13%
20%
68%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 4
HER
46%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Almirante Barroso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
LIT
2 - 1
HER
53%
23%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CAC
0 - 1
LIT
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
LIT
4 - 0
POR
60%
19%
21%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |