Marcílio Dias vs Jaraguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 1
MAR
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
5 - 0
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
LIT
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
TUB
3 - 1
MAR
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 2
BAR
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CAC
1 - 0
JAR
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
JAR
0 - 3
TUB
18%
23%
59%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
JAR
0 - 1
BAR
30%
23%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
POR
1 - 4
JAR
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
JAR
0 - 1
MAF
45%
23%
33%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |