Marcílio Dias vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
IMB
1 - 1
MAR
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
MET
1 - 1
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 1
PEL
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 0
IRA
31%
27%
42%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
IRA
1 - 0
MAR
60%
23%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
MET
1 - 1
FFL
15%
21%
63%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
MET
2 - 3
OPE
45%
27%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
OPE
1 - 0
MET
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
MET
1 - 1
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
IRA
3 - 3
MET
49%
26%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |