Marcílio Dias vs Fluminense SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
JAR
0 - 4
MAR
13%
19%
68%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 4
CAC
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
HER
0 - 0
MAR
33%
27%
41%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
JAR
1 - 2
MAR
15%
20%
65%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
JUV
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2017 |
FFC
0 - 2
HER
19%
20%
61%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |