Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
49.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
CHA
15%
22%
64%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CRI
1 - 1
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAC
51%
23%
27%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
AVA
3 - 1
MAR
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
BRU
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAC
0 - 2
FFL
9%
16%
75%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 2
FFL
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FFL
0 - 2
AVA
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
FFL
2 - 1
JEC
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 2
FFL
18%
23%
59%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |