Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
69.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
HER
24%
24%
52%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAM
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BRU
2 - 2
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 5
AVA
12%
19%
69%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CRI
2 - 2
MAR
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 5
FFL
11%
18%
71%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
FFL
4 - 0
BRU
86%
11%
4%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
AVA
0 - 1
FFL
42%
25%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
FFL
5 - 4
CRI
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 1
FFL
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |