Marcílio Dias vs EC Próspera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 2
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
AVA
11%
21%
68%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 2
AIM
38%
28%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
MAR
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 0
RIO
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
EC Próspera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
ECP
0 - 1
HER
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 0
ECP
56%
21%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 1
ECP
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
ECP
0 - 1
AVA
6%
14%
80%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
BRU
3 - 1
ECP
73%
16%
11%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |