Marcílio Dias vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
44%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 1
MAR
32%
27%
42%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
CHA
13%
22%
65%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
BRU
16%
23%
61%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
MAR
80%
15%
5%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
FFL
2 - 1
MAR
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AVA
1 - 0
CAC
79%
15%
6%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 0
HER
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
3 - 0
CAC
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
BRU
0 - 0
CAC
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
2 - 2
CHA
15%
24%
61%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |