Marcílio Dias vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
FFL
3 - 2
MAR
64%
22%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
JEC
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
BRU
3 - 2
MAR
73%
18%
10%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
ECP
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 2
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
CAC
0 - 0
HER
42%
27%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAM
3 - 1
CAC
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAC
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CAC
1 - 0
FFL
19%
25%
56%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
JEC
1 - 3
CAC
53%
25%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |