Marcílio Dias vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
MET
0 - 1
MAR
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
MAR
31%
26%
43%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
JEC
0 - 0
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 0
ECP
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
BRU
27%
26%
48%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
CAC
4 - 0
ECP
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
JEC
1 - 1
CAC
39%
24%
38%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
CAC
2 - 1
BRU
19%
21%
60%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
FFL
3 - 0
CAC
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
CAC
0 - 2
CHA
7%
15%
78%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |