Marcílio Dias vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
AVA
3 - 1
MAR
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
BRU
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FFL
0 - 1
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 2
HER
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
JEC
0 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CAC
1 - 1
CHA
5%
11%
84%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
CRI
2 - 1
CAC
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CAC
1 - 2
LIT
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
LIT
1 - 1
CAC
32%
23%
45%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
LIT
1 - 4
CAC
38%
24%
39%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +2 |