Marcílio Dias vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
39.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
4 - 0
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 2
MAR
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 0
JUV
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAM
39%
26%
34%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
CAC
0 - 0
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
JUV
2 - 5
CAC
19%
21%
60%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
CAC
4 - 1
JAR
77%
15%
9%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
FFC
2 - 3
CAC
12%
19%
69%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
HER
1 - 1
CAC
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
CAC
0 - 0
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |