Marcílio Dias vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
MAF
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
MAR
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 1
FFC
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
JAR
0 - 4
MAR
13%
19%
68%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 4
CAC
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
CAC
0 - 0
GUA
24%
24%
53%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 1
CAC
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
CAC
1 - 1
MAF
54%
23%
22%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAC
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 4
CAC
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |