Marcílio Dias vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
HER
0 - 0
MAR
33%
27%
41%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
JAR
1 - 2
MAR
15%
20%
65%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
JUV
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
POR
2 - 0
MAR
13%
22%
65%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LIT
0 - 0
MAR
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CAC
5 - 1
MAF
61%
20%
19%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 1
CAC
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
JAR
2 - 3
CAC
16%
19%
65%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CAC
0 - 0
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
POR
1 - 2
CAC
16%
20%
64%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | +1 |