Marcílio Dias vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
34.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 1
MAR
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 0
MAR
57%
25%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 0
NOV
28%
28%
44%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 0
JEC
54%
25%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 0
MAR
30%
30%
40%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
JEC
1 - 1
CAX
30%
30%
41%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CAX
1 - 2
SLU
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 2
CAX
25%
30%
46%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAX
2 - 1
TUB
68%
21%
11%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 1
CAX
51%
28%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |