Marcílio Dias vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
38.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
HER
1 - 1
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
4 - 1
JEC
30%
26%
45%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
FFL
2 - 1
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 0
TUB
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
CRI
6 - 1
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SCI
8 - 1
CAX
80%
15%
5%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 2
CAX
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
VER
1 - 3
CAX
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
CAX
4 - 0
GRE
11%
19%
70%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ECS
4 - 3
CAX
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |