Marcílio Dias vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
70.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
JEC
0 - 0
MAR
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
HER
35%
28%
38%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 3
AIM
33%
29%
38%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
MAR
57%
25%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
AFC
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
AVA
3 - 0
CAM
76%
17%
7%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
AVA
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 2
AVA
83%
13%
5%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
AVA
2 - 0
CEA
25%
29%
46%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
AVA
74%
18%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |