Marchtrenk vs St. Marienkirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchtrenk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 2
MAR
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
UNP
48%
22%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
VOC
1 - 0
MAR
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
SIE
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
GMU
2 - 2
MAR
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
St. Marienkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
NEU
19%
20%
61%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BAD
5 - 2
MAR
82%
12%
7%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
SSM
16%
19%
65%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 2
BAD
26%
21%
53%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
MAR
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |