Marchena Balompié vs UD Marinaleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1002%
+777%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchena Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 0
LEB
68%
19%
13%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
PUE
0 - 1
MAR
29%
25%
46%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 0
UDM
37%
25%
38%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
CAN
1 - 0
MAR
33%
24%
43%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
4 - 1
EST
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
UD Marinaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 0
MAR
60%
22%
19%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 0
SUE
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
UDR
1 - 4
MAR
34%
26%
41%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 3
SMA
49%
25%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
SEV
2 - 0
MAR
60%
23%
18%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |