Marchena Balompié vs UD Bellavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
57.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+649%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchena Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 1
MAR
57%
21%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
4 - 2
MON
52%
22%
27%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
CIR
52%
21%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ANA
0 - 0
MAR
69%
17%
14%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 3
CAM
39%
22%
39%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
UD Bellavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
UDB
2 - 0
AND
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SUE
1 - 7
UDB
13%
19%
68%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
UDB
2 - 1
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
TRI
0 - 0
UDB
26%
23%
52%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
UDB
2 - 0
MON
74%
17%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |