Marchena Balompié vs C.D. Arahelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchena Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
HER
2 - 3
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 0
CDD
68%
17%
14%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ANT
4 - 3
MAR
35%
24%
41%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
ELR
56%
21%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
MAR
49%
22%
29%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
C.D. Arahelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CDA
1 - 1
AND
48%
22%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SUE
0 - 1
CDA
37%
23%
40%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CDA
1 - 2
UDB
45%
22%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
TRI
3 - 0
CDA
30%
23%
47%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CDA
2 - 0
MON
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |