Cearense 2 Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Maranguape vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maranguape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
1 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
CRA
41%
25%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 1
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
UNI
60%
22%
17%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
ARS
0 - 0
MAR
40%
25%
36%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
1 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 3
ITA
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 1
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
6 - 0
ARS
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
PAC
3 - 0
ITA
26%
23%
51%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -2 |