Maracena vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
53.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
MAR
64%
21%
15%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
LIN
27%
26%
47%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
EST
0 - 2
MAR
37%
25%
38%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
HUE
2 - 1
MAR
43%
26%
32%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
RON
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
LOJ
1 - 2
HUE
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
ATA
1 - 1
LOJ
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
ANT
2 - 1
LOJ
15%
21%
64%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LOJ
3 - 2
MAN
68%
21%
12%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 1
LOJ
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |