Maracena vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
48.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ANT
0 - 0
MAR
73%
16%
10%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
MAL
12%
22%
66%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | +3 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
CDE
1 - 1
MAR
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 0
ALQ
87%
10%
3%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
MAR
51%
23%
26%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 0
MAL
32%
27%
40%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ALQ
0 - 3
MAN
11%
23%
67%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 0
VEL
53%
25%
23%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
MAN
26%
28%
46%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 1
PAL
27%
28%
44%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |