Maracena vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
19.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
LIN
4 - 0
MAR
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 2
MAL
35%
26%
39%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
AME
1 - 2
MAR
23%
23%
54%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
5 - 0
CDE
63%
19%
17%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ALH
0 - 4
MAR
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 1
MAR
43%
27%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ALQ
2 - 1
MAN
55%
24%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 2
MAN
52%
25%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 0
LIN
16%
24%
61%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MAL
1 - 0
MAN
73%
17%
10%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |