Maracena vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
33.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
PAL
4 - 1
MAR
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
MAR
41%
27%
32%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ALH
1 - 3
MAR
25%
26%
50%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
JUV
66%
20%
14%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
RON
1 - 0
MAR
45%
25%
30%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 1
MAN
23%
27%
50%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
ATA
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
EST
0 - 2
MAN
49%
25%
25%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 1
MAR
61%
23%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |