Maracena vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
MAR
0 - 2
MAR
24%
28%
48%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
MAR
2 - 1
LOJ
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAR
49%
27%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
MAR
5 - 1
BAE
72%
19%
9%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
MAR
2 - 0
TOR
61%
23%
17%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
MAN
0 - 1
MAR
32%
27%
40%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
ANT
2 - 1
MAN
55%
24%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |