Racing Cartagena Mar Menor vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
4.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
LOR
41%
25%
35%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PUL
0 - 1
MAR
27%
26%
48%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 0
UCA
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +3 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
IMP
2 - 0
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
ABA
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 62 | 39 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 3
CAR
11%
21%
68%
|
23 | 62 | 39 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ABA
3 - 4
PUL
28%
26%
46%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
UCA
5 - 0
ABA
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ABA
1 - 0
IMP
9%
20%
72%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | +4 |