Mar Menor vs Abanilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
69.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
MEN
71%
16%
12%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MEN
3 - 0
JUM
51%
22%
28%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 0
MEN
66%
18%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MEN
1 - 2
CDL
22%
22%
56%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ABA
12 - 0
MEN
60%
19%
21%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Abanilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ABA
1 - 1
DIT
51%
21%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 2
ABA
30%
21%
49%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ABA
0 - 2
CAR
54%
21%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CDB
1 - 2
ABA
25%
21%
54%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
RIN
2 - 2
ABA
16%
18%
66%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |