Mar Menor vs San Cristobal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LLA
0 - 1
MEN
24%
21%
55%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
MEN
2 - 2
ABA
44%
23%
33%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MEN
2 - 0
JAV
43%
23%
34%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MEN
1 - 3
ALG
29%
23%
49%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MOL
3 - 2
MEN
29%
22%
50%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
San Cristobal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CRI
6 - 1
ATL
49%
21%
31%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ABA
3 - 1
CRI
66%
18%
16%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CRI
3 - 1
LLA
38%
22%
40%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CRI
2 - 7
JAV
29%
23%
48%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ALG
8 - 0
CRI
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -2 |