Mar Menor vs CD Alberca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
24.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
CDL
2 - 1
MEN
47%
22%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
MEN
1 - 2
ABA
45%
22%
33%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 1
MEN
53%
21%
26%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MEN
0 - 4
ESP
28%
22%
50%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 0
MEN
43%
22%
35%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
CD Alberca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 1
DIT
20%
19%
62%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 1
ALB
40%
22%
38%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 3
CAR
21%
21%
58%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CDB
1 - 1
ALB
50%
21%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ALB
2 - 2
ABA
16%
19%
66%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |