Mar Menor vs Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
62.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CDB
2 - 1
MEN
69%
17%
15%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MEN
2 - 2
ABA
13%
17%
70%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
MEN
71%
16%
12%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MEN
3 - 0
JUM
51%
22%
28%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 0
MEN
66%
18%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 3
DIT
50%
21%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAR
20%
20%
60%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
RIN
3 - 1
CAR
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
6 - 2
CDB
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ABA
0 - 2
CAR
54%
21%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |