Mar Menor vs Rincon de Seca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
21.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 3
MEN
41%
23%
36%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MEN
2 - 1
CDB
43%
22%
35%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 8
MEN
25%
22%
53%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CRI
0 - 5
MEN
44%
22%
34%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MEN
3 - 0
LLA
57%
21%
22%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rincon de Seca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
RIN
4 - 2
CRI
71%
17%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
LLA
2 - 3
RIN
26%
22%
52%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
RIN
2 - 1
ABA
42%
23%
36%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
JAV
3 - 3
RIN
61%
19%
20%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
RIN
1 - 3
ALG
21%
21%
59%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |