Mar Menor vs El Llano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
22%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ABA
5 - 2
MEN
60%
20%
21%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
JAV
3 - 1
MEN
50%
22%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ALG
2 - 1
MEN
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MEN
1 - 2
MOL
69%
18%
14%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
COR
3 - 2
MEN
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
El Llano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LLA
1 - 1
CRI
41%
23%
36%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
LLA
47%
22%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
ABA
5 - 2
LLA
73%
16%
11%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LLA
1 - 1
JAV
24%
22%
53%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ALG
2 - 1
LLA
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |