Mar Menor CF U19 vs CFS El Progreso U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
35.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
17º
18º
18º
46
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
71 | 71 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 66 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
57 | 57 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
56 | 56 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
53 | 53 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 12 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
1 | 1 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mar Menor CF U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
EFM
5 - 1
MMC
43%
22%
35%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MMC
1 - 4
BEN
50%
23%
27%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
UCA
5 - 1
MMC
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
MMC
1 - 3
ACA
29%
21%
50%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MMC
3 - 2
CDM
72%
15%
12%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CFS El Progreso U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 2
EFT
44%
22%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CIE
0 - 1
PRO
58%
20%
22%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PRO
3 - 2
CFC
37%
21%
42%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |