Mar Menor B vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
31.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mar Menor B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
MME
1 - 0
CCS
58%
20%
22%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
EFA
1 - 1
MME
65%
19%
17%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
MME
0 - 2
RMC
13%
17%
71%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
BAL
2 - 0
MME
60%
19%
21%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CDB
2 - 1
MME
28%
22%
50%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
BUL
2 - 1
VIL
66%
19%
16%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 0
EEP
59%
20%
20%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
MSM
3 - 4
VIL
53%
21%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 2
CDB
48%
22%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 2
CDT
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |