Mar Menor B vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mar Menor B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
RMC
2 - 1
MME
66%
18%
17%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
CDT
1 - 2
MME
40%
22%
38%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
MME
0 - 4
PLU
35%
23%
42%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
JUM
2 - 3
MME
35%
22%
43%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
MME
1 - 0
EFA
24%
21%
56%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 3
CDT
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PLU
1 - 0
VIL
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
JUM
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
EFA
3 - 3
VIL
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
BUL
62%
19%
18%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |