Mar Menor B vs Caravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
42.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mar Menor B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
CDA
3 - 1
MME
51%
22%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
MME
2 - 1
BAL
31%
22%
48%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MME
2 - 1
CIE
27%
22%
51%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 2
MME
66%
17%
17%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
MME
0 - 2
JUV
62%
19%
19%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 1
BUL
40%
24%
36%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
EEP
3 - 1
CAR
18%
20%
62%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CDT
2 - 1
CAR
42%
21%
36%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 0
LAU
23%
24%
53%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
YEC
0 - 1
CAR
48%
22%
30%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |