MapelloBonate vs Pontisola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
57.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MapelloBonate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
INV
3 - 0
MAP
60%
21%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MAP
3 - 0
DAR
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MAP
3 - 4
ACM
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
OLG
1 - 1
MAP
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MAP
3 - 3
ALZ
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pontisola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LEG
2 - 4
PON
22%
24%
54%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
CES
4 - 1
PON
75%
16%
8%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
PON
2 - 0
ASC
18%
24%
59%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
PON
1 - 2
LEC
71%
19%
11%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -3 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
PON
4 - 3
FER
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | -1 |