MapelloBonate vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MapelloBonate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CIS
0 - 1
MAP
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
MAP
1 - 1
PER
52%
23%
24%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 0
MAP
53%
24%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MAP
1 - 2
OLG
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PSM
1 - 1
MAP
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
FOL
3 - 1
CIS
41%
24%
36%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PER
1 - 2
FOL
56%
25%
19%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 1
VIL
35%
26%
39%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
OLG
0 - 0
FOL
66%
22%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 2
PSM
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |