MapelloBonate vs Ciserano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
47%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MapelloBonate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
PER
0 - 0
MAP
65%
21%
14%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MAP
0 - 0
VIL
40%
25%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
OLG
3 - 1
MAP
65%
22%
13%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MAP
0 - 1
PSM
34%
23%
43%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 1
MAP
55%
25%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CIS
2 - 2
PER
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
CIS
26%
23%
52%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CIS
3 - 2
OLG
46%
24%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PSM
3 - 1
CIS
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CIS
2 - 1
PRO
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |