MapelloBonate vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MapelloBonate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
VBE
2 - 5
MAP
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
MAP
1 - 0
SER
37%
25%
38%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
MAP
41%
27%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PRO
2 - 1
MAP
55%
25%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MAP
1 - 1
GRU
23%
22%
56%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 1
SER
62%
21%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 3
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 1
PRO
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
BUS
1 - 0
LEC
16%
19%
65%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 2
PON
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |