Manzini Wanderers vs Mbabane Swallows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
62.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manzini Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 1
MAN
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
TAM
3 - 1
MAN
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 0
MAL
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ROY
2 - 1
MAN
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 2
MAN
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
MBA
16%
22%
62%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
VOV
1 - 0
MBA
14%
21%
65%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 0
MBA
20%
24%
57%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MCF
0 - 0
MBA
15%
22%
63%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
MBA
2 - 1
YOU
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |